I am fairly confident that as conservatives go, I have been somewhat pragmatic after the early days of the Les Phillip campaign - seeking to have this seat finally become what it should be - a republican owned seat. Moreover, not just one sat in by someone who claims to represent the conservative values of the district, but a seat that will be occupied for not just two years, but many years to come, by a conservative congressman. I even lost some "so-called" friends over my reasons for supporting Griffith prior to June 2 - wow, come to think of it, haven't thought of those loons for a while now...you all know who you are!
Which leads me to a "side-bar" comment. I am sick to death of the "career politician" and "throw the bums out" motive that so many small minded conservatives believe is a winning argument. I even think the campaign to "stop" or "fire" Pelosi is weak, though she is so bad, it is working and am much more excited about having a candidate that says, vote for me because here is what I have done, and vote for me because here is what I will do! Okay, back to the topic of bingogate's affect of the congressional campaign.
For anyone who has followed this blog (not updated in a while) you understand that I believe (rightfully so) that Bud Cramer still has the most influential voice in the district, and believe that whichever candidate received his endorsement, would have an edge over the other. I also have said that he is a smart guy, who doesn't waste political capitol, and believe he was close to coming out for Raby, though I have no evidence of it. However, Alabama politics just got messy! Time may show that the PAC Steve Raby ran was connected, but it also might show he had no part in it - either way, it doesn't matter. The impact of Bingogate is, Cramer will most likely stay quiet, and if he does, I hope Mr. Raby didn't quit his day job, because I am beginning to hear that overweight (but lovely) neighbor of mine singing a tune!
Your comments are both welcome and hoped for - four weeks away!!
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It depends.
ReplyDeleteIF the more mainstream media picks up on it, that's one thing. If it stays confined to the blogs and rumor mill, then I'm almost (ALMOST) willing to bet that the majority of voters won't care one way or the other.
And on the off chance that this does become a bigger deal in the MSM then we have to remember that Raby and Mo Brooks are (according to them) good friends and that Raby has previously given campaign money to Brooks. If Raby turns out to be dirty, then it won't be hard for others to connect the dots to Brooks.
My prediction thus far is that it won't affect the outcome either way unless we hear something new. As it stands, the scandal itself and those more directly involved are the big news story. Any of this smaller association will likely be buried for a while.
This is an interesting viewpoint, and one I had not thought of. I had been hearing rumors that Cramer was going to get involved if the race got close, but I agree that he probably won't now, and that about seals the deal for Brooks.
ReplyDeleteModerate - you missed the point (it actually doesn't even sound like you read the post). The point has less to do with the direct affect the scandal has on the voters, but instead the affect it has on keeping Cramer out of the campaign. Also, I wouldn't say that Raby and Brooks are "good friends" and have not heard them say that.
ReplyDeleteUNA - we will obviously have to wait and see if Cramer gets in or stays out, I just think this makes him getting involved much less likely.
I don't think that this is going to matter. Raby isn't as far behind as people think, and I think Cramer knows who is best for District 5, and he has been and will be letting people know. I mean, have you ever met anyone who actually likes Mo - how can we elect that guy?
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